Skip to content

WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE 12-12-2011

December 13, 2011

John Jastremski Presents:

WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE

December 12, 2011

CONSUMERS FEEL BETTER IN EARLY DECEMBER
December’s initial University of Michigan consumer sentiment index is in, and the reading of 67.7 represents a six-month high. This is a 3.6% increase from the final November survey. The sub-index of consumer expectations (which some regard as an indicator of future consumer spending) improved from 55.4 to 61.1. In other positive news for households, retail gas prices hit a low unseen since February on December 5, according to the American Automobile Association, $3.27 was the national average for a gallon of regular unleaded.1

SERVICE SECTOR GROWTH MODERATES
The 52.0 reading on the Institute for Supply Management’s November service sector index was the lowest since January 2010. Anything above 50 still denotes expansion, but the reading disappointed investors; economists polled by Reuters had forecast a 0.6% gain to 53.5.2

MORTGAGE APPS RISE ALMOST 13%
The Mortgage Bankers Association reports that home loan demand hit a four-month peak in the week of November 28-December 2. According to Freddie Mac’s latest figures, the average rate on the 15-year FRM was 3.27% last week; interest rates on 30-year FRMs averaged 3.99%.3

GOLD & OIL RETREAT FOR THE WEEK
Despite strong Friday gains, oil and gold both had down weeks. Oil futures slipped 1.54% across five days to $99.41 while gold futures lost $34.20 across the same time frame to settle at $1,712.80 per ounce on the COMEX December 9.4

RALLY REACHES TWO WEEKS
A new EU fiscal treaty helped stocks push north Friday, (even with the UK opting out of the deal). Across December 5-9, the DJIA gained 1.37%, the S&P 500 0.88% and the NASDAQ 0.76%. At the close on Friday, the Dow was at 12,184.26, the S&P at 1,255.19, and the NASDAQ at 2,646.85.5,6

THIS WEEK: No major economic news is scheduled for Monday (at least not stateside). On Tuesday, the Census Bureau issues retail sales data for November, a Federal Reserve FOMC meeting occurs and we have 3Q earnings from Best Buy. Wednesday, an OPEC meeting concludes. Thursday, a plethora of earnings reports roll out (Adobe, FedEx, RIM, RiteAid, Discover and Accenture) and we also get the November PPI, the latest weekly jobless claims and a report on industrial output. Friday brings November’s CPI and a speech from ECB president Mario Draghi.

% CHANGE

Y-T-D

1-YR CHG

5-YR AVG

10-YR AVG

DJIA

+5.24

+7.16

-0.20

+2.28

NASDAQ

-0.23

+1.15

+1.72

+3.29

S&P   500

-0.19

+1.80

-2.19

+1.01

REAL YIELD

12/9 RATE

1 YR AGO

5 YRS AGO

10 YRS AGO

10 YR   TIPS

0.01%

1.09%

2.21%

3.50%

 

This material was prepared by Peter Montoya Inc, and does not necessarily represent the views of John Jastremski, Jeremy Keating, Erik J Larsen, Frank Esposito, Patrick Ray, Robert Welsch, Michael Reese, Brent Wolf, Andy Starostecki and The Retirement Group or FSC Financial Corp. This information should not be construed as investment advice. Neither the named Representatives nor Broker/Dealer gives tax or legal advice. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If other expert assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional. Please consult your Financial Advisor for further information or call 800-900-5867.

 The Retirement Group is not affiliated with nor endorsed by fidelity.com, netbenefits.fidelity.com, hewitt.com, resources.hewitt.com, access.att.com, ING Retirement, AT&T, Qwest, Chevron, Hughes, Northrop Grumman, Raytheon, ExxonMobil, Glaxosmithkline, Merck, Pfizer, Verizon, Bank of America, Alcatel-Lucent or by your employer. We are an independent financial advisory group that specializes in transition planning and lump sum distribution. Please call our office at 800-900-5867 if you have additional questions or need help in the retirement planning process.

John Jastremski is a Representative with FSC Securities and may be reached at http://www.theretirementgroup.com.

Advertisements

Comments are closed.

%d bloggers like this: