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WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE 12-05-2011

December 5, 2011

John Jastremski Presents:

 WEEKLY ECONOMIC UPDATE

 JOBLESS RATE FALLS TO 8.6%
In November, U.S. unemployment hit its lowest level since March 2009. November’s net job gain was 120,000. While the Bureau of Labor Statistics report showed that the majority of the new hires were made by retailers and temp agencies, this is still a sign of recovery. The underemployment rate fell to 15.6% from the prior 16.2%.

SOME (MOSTLY) POSITIVE HOUSING NEWS
Pending home sales soared 10.4% in October, the National Association of Realtors reported. New home sales also were up 1.3% in that month according to the Census Bureau. The September edition of the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index showed price gains in 14 of 20 metro markets; the index gained 0.1% in the third quarter, but was down 3.9% from a year ago.2

MANUFACTURING SECTOR EXPANDS
The Institute for Supply Management’s manufacturing index showed sector growth in November. It came in at 52.7; economists polled by Briefing.com had forecast it would read 51.0.3

OIL TOPS $100 AGAIN, GOLD ADVANCES
Crude prices ended the week at $100.96 on the NYMEX, going up 4.33% in five days. Gold futures had their best week in more than a month (+3.64%) and settled at $1747.00 Friday.4

S&P 500 GAINS 7.4% IN 5 DAYS
The index had its best week since March 2009, going +7.39% to settle at 1,244.28 Friday. A coordinated central bank move to make cheaper dollar loans available to EU lenders set off a massive Dow rally Wednesday, a big factor behind great weeks for the DJIA (+7.01 to 12,019.42) and NASDAQ (+7.59% to 2,626.93).5,6

THIS WEEK: All eyes will be on Europe late next week, as there will be an EU summit and we could see notable developments regarding EU member fiscal policies and the future of the euro. Stateside, Monday brings the latest ISM report on the service sector, a look at October factory orders and earnings from Dollar General. Tuesday, Toll Brothers comes out with 3Q results. No major economic releases are slated for Wednesday. Thursday, the Bank of England and European Central Bank conclude policy meetings and Costco announces 3Q results. Friday, we have the conclusion of the EU summit meeting and the initial December consumer sentiment survey from the University of Michigan.

% CHANGE

Y-T-D

1-YR CHG

5-YR AVG

10-YR AVG

DJIA

+3.82

+5.78

-0.29

+2.31

NASDAQ

-0.98

+1.84

+1.77

+3.79

S&P   500

-1.06

+1.86

-2.18

+1.01

REAL YIELD

12/2 RATE

1 YR AGO

5 YRS AGO

10 YRS AGO

10 YR   TIPS

0.00%

0.84%

2.10%

3.50%

Sources: cnbc.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov, treasurydirect.gov – 12/2/115,7,8,9

Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly.

These returns do not include dividends.

This material was prepared by Peter Montoya Inc, and does not necessarily represent the views of John Jastremski, Jeremy Keating, Erik J Larsen, Frank Esposito, Patrick Ray, Robert Welsch, Michael Reese, Brent Wolf, Andy Starostecki and The Retirement Group or FSC Financial Corp. This information should not be construed as investment advice. Neither the named Representatives nor Broker/Dealer gives tax or legal advice. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however, we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If other expert assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional. Please consult your Financial Advisor for further information or call 800-900-5867.

 The Retirement Group is not affiliated with nor endorsed by fidelity.com, netbenefits.fidelity.com, hewitt.com, resources.hewitt.com, access.att.com, ING Retirement, AT&T, Qwest, Chevron, Hughes, Northrop Grumman, Raytheon, ExxonMobil, Glaxosmithkline, Merck, Pfizer, Verizon, Bank of America, Alcatel-Lucent or by your employer. We are an independent financial advisory group that specializes in transition planning and lump sum distribution. Please call our office at 800-900-5867 if you have additional questions or need help in the retirement planning process.

John Jastremski is a Representative with FSC Securities and may be reached at http://www.theretirementgroup.com.

 

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